KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN
Will Denver win the Pro Football AFC West Division?
Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 29426
YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.3100
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN
Will Denver be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3687
YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5900
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:28Z
Reasoning: Winning the AFC West division guarantees Denver a playoff berth. However, Denver can make the playoffs as a wild card without winning the division, so the playoff event does not imply the division title. Only one direction holds: division win → playoff qualifier.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-34.79%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.3000
Days to maturity:
224
Hurdle yield:
4.28%
Excess yield:
-39.07%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:39:33Z