Pair #10681

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-RMAC

The Open Championship: Will Robert MacIntyre make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 7797

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 60277

YES ask: 0.0240
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0250

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:26Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.2540 + ~$0.0140 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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