Pair #10676

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-RHEN

The Open Championship: Will Russell Henley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 689

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Russell Henley has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RHEN

Will Russell Henley lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 29577

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9860
Last: 0.0160

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Russell Henley is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:26Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3050 + ~$0.0154 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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