Pair #1067

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-GKOC

Valspar Championship: Will Greg Koch finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Greg Koch
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3775

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Greg Koch finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-GKOC

Valspar Championship: Will Greg Koch make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Greg Koch
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3383

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Greg Koch makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:16:34Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all rounds, which means the player must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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