Pair #1063

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25260

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1536

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:16:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, so the player must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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