Pair #10624

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BDEC

The Open Championship: Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 12743

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 17576

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9880
Last: 0.0130

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:26Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4050 + ~$0.0177 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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