Pair #10618

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-XSCH

The Open Championship: Will Xander Schauffele make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 8414

YES ask: 0.7600
NO ask: 0.2600
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-XSCH

Will Xander Schauffele lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 28862

YES ask: 0.0230
NO ask: 0.9830
Last: 0.0180

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:26Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.2830 + ~$0.0150 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue