Pair #10606

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JROS

The Open Championship: Will Justin Rose make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 25110

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JROS

Will Justin Rose lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 34048

YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0210

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Rose is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:26Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3010 + ~$0.0156 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue