Pair #1058

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1536

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2878

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:16:34Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could withdraw or be disqualified before the cut), and making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue