Pair #1055

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-JHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1507

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-JHIG

Valspar Championship: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 20892

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:16:15Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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