Pair #10425

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-GESO26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark lead at the end of Round 3 in the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 68942

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Wyndham Clark is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4404

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:17:31Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Different tournaments; no necessary logical link between these outcomes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -98.23% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1100 + ~$0.0069 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -102.46% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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