Pair #10421

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 55430

YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0210

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR3LEAD-GESO26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark lead at the end of Round 3 in the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 68942

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:17:31Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Different tournaments; leading in one event's Round 1 has no bearing on leading in another event's Round 3.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 13.96% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9920 + ~$0.0019 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +9.73% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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