Pair #10415

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-27-NYR

Will New York Rangers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: New York Rangers
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8629

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If New York Rangers wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-27-NYR

Will the New York Rangers win the Eastern Conference Finals?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: New York Rangers
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 686

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the New York Rangers win the 2026-27 NHL Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:17:05Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, a team must first win its conference finals (Eastern Conference Finals for NYR).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0700 + ~$0.0071 est. fees
Days to maturity: 351
Hurdle yield: 4.51%
Excess yield: -11.95% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

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