Pair #10376

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-27-UTA

Will Utah Mammoth win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 5905

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Utah Mammoth wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-27-UTA

Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference Finals?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Utah Mammoth
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 239

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Utah Mammoth win the 2026-27 NHL Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:16:01Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Utah Mammoth is in the Western Conference; winning the Stanley Cup requires first winning the Western Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -7.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0700 + ~$0.0071 est. fees
Days to maturity: 351
Hurdle yield: 4.51%
Excess yield: -11.95% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue