Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHL-27-SJ
Will San Jose Sharks win the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: San Jose Sharks
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 64764
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If San Jose Sharks wins the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLWEST-27-SJ
Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference Finals?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: San Jose Sharks
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 312
YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.2300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the San Jose Sharks win the 2026-27 NHL Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:16:01Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, a Western Conference team must first win the Western Conference Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-16.89%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1800
+ ~$0.0147 est. fees
Days to maturity:
351
Hurdle yield:
4.51%
Excess yield:
-21.40%
BELOW HURDLE