Pair #10363

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26ZWERENSKI8-CBJ

What will be Zach Werenski's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNHL
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2026-11-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 243

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zach Werenski's next team is Columbus Blue Jackets before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHL-27-CBJ

Will Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Columbus Blue Jackets
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 859

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Columbus Blue Jackets wins the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:15:41Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Columbus winning the Cup does not require Werenski to be on the team (he could be traded), nor does his being on the team imply a Cup win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 32.83% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9100 + ~$0.0094 est. fees
Days to maturity: 108
Hurdle yield: 4.38%
Excess yield: +28.45% PROFITABLE

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