Pair #10360

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26AMAT-CAR

What will be Auston Matthews's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNHL
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2026-11-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 710

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Auston Matthews's next team is the Carolina Hurricanes before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHL-27-CAR

Will Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 36459

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carolina Hurricanes wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:15:41Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Matthews joining Carolina does not imply Carolina wins the Cup, nor vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -31.17% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1100 + ~$0.0069 est. fees
Days to maturity: 108
Hurdle yield: 4.38%
Excess yield: -35.55% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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