Pair #10305

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-GESO26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre lead at the end of Round 3 in the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 78397

YES ask: 0.3100
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1011366

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 0.9740
Last: 0.0280

View on Kalshi

Rules If Robert MacIntyre wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:13:59Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Different tournaments; no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7980 + ~$0.0143 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue