Pair #10277

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CCON

Will Corey Conners win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 963141

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-CCON

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2845

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:13:22Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning The Open Championship is one of the four majors, implying the major-win market.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -42.28% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0050 + ~$0.0010 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -46.51% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue