Pair #10240

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-THAT

Tyrrell Hatton to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 647

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-GESO26-THAT

Genesis Scottish Open: Will Tyrrell Hatton finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5424

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:12:24Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: No logical necessity linking LIV competition in 2027 to a 2026 tournament finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 4.65% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9500 + ~$0.0182 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +0.17% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue