Pair #10236

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-THAT

Tyrrell Hatton to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 647

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1800

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 827953

YES ask: 0.0220
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0220

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:12:02Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Competing in LIV Golf in Q1 2027 does not logically require or preclude winning The Open Championship in 2026, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 24.94% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8420 + ~$0.0118 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +20.46% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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