Pair #10235

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-THAT

Tyrrell Hatton to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 647

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 21531

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyrrell Hatton is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:12:02Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: These events involve different tours/times with no logical dependency between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 25.38% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8400 + ~$0.0117 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +20.90% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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