Pair #1023

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-JSPI

Valspar Championship: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11937

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JSPI

Valspar Championship: Will Jordan Spieth make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1816

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:15:29Z

Reasoning: If Spieth finishes top 5 at the Valspar Championship, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds and achieve that finish. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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