Pair #10194

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXOWGRRANK-26AUGT10-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick be ranked top 10 on the Official World Golf Ranking on Aug 3, 2026?

Series: KXOWGRRANK
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-03T14:00:00Z
Volume: 970

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick is ranked in the top 10 (including ties) on the Official World Golf Ranking on August 3rd, 2026 at 10:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2049004

YES ask: 0.0530
NO ask: 0.9480
Last: 0.0530

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:11:03Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning The Open Championship would boost ranking but does not logically guarantee a top-10 world ranking as of a specific date; not a strict necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.2730 + ~$0.0155 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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