Pair #10193

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXOWGRRANK-26AUGT10-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick be ranked top 10 on the Official World Golf Ranking on Aug 3, 2026?

Series: KXOWGRRANK
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-03T14:00:00Z
Volume: 970

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick is ranked in the top 10 (including ties) on the Official World Golf Ranking on August 3rd, 2026 at 10:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 94908

YES ask: 0.0290
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0290

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:11:03Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 of one tournament does not determine world ranking, and ranking does not require leading a round.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.2490 + ~$0.0140 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue