Pair #1017

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JSPI

Valspar Championship: Will Jordan Spieth make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1816

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-JSPI

Will Jordan Spieth lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21504

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:15:07Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could shoot a very high score in Round 2 and miss the cut. And making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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