Pair #10166

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXOWGRRANK-26AUGT20-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler be ranked top 20 on the Official World Golf Ranking on Aug 3, 2026?

Series: KXOWGRRANK
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-08-03T14:00:00Z
Volume: 220

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler is ranked in the top 20 (including ties) on the Official World Golf Ranking on August 3rd, 2026 at 10:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2453329

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:10:20Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: OWGR ranking is a computed function of many players' points; winning a major strongly correlates with but does not logically guarantee a top-20 ranking on a specific future date, and top-20 ranking doesn't imply winning any specific event.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -85.37% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0900 + ~$0.0094 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -89.60% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue