Pair #10159

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH

Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2453329

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-SSCH

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Scottie Scheffler
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 220746

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:09:50Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so it directly satisfies the condition for winning a PGA Tour Major in 2026.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -95.58% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0200 + ~$0.0148 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -99.81% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue