Pair #10051

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-GESO26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 3 in the Genesis Scottish Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-26T00:00:00Z
Volume: 153617

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 864642

YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0170

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:06:24Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning The Open Championship is unrelated to leading round 3 of a different tournament (Scottish Open).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7270 + ~$0.0156 est. fees
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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