Pair #10036

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1297553

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-STHE

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 7523

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:06:06Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: The Open Championship is one of the four majors, so winning it guarantees winning a major; but winning a major could occur via a different tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -65.70% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0080 + ~$0.0008 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -69.93% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-12T12:36:01Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue