Pair #10000

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-BDEC

Bryson DeChambeau to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1011

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1386183

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-12T08:05:07Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: No logical relationship between competing in a LIV tournament in Q1 2027 and winning the 2026 Open Championship.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 35.79% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7920 + ~$0.0128 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +31.31% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue